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US crypto alternate Coinbase predicts the stablecoin market may greater than quadruple by 2028 to achieve $1.2 trillion.
In an Aug. 21 report referred to as ”New Framework for Stablecoin Progress,” Coinbase stated the sector’s development can be ”underpinned by an enhancing coverage panorama and accelerating adoption tendencies.” The sector’s market capitalization stands at $288.39 billion now, according to CoinMarketCap.
Coinbase stated the stablecoin market has grown at a compound annual development charge of roughly 65% since 2021. The common adjusted transaction volumes have additionally surged to $15.8 trillion for the seven months by July 31, up from $10.3 trillion over the identical interval in 2024, the report stated.
Surging Stablecoin Demand Will Not Push US Treasury Yields Down A lot
As stablecoins develop, issuers’ demand for US Treasury payments will soar as nicely. Coinbase tasks that the Treasury might want to difficulty round $5.3 billion of recent short-term debt each week for 3 years straight simply to cater to the demand.
Non-public stablecoin issuers like Tether and Circle have already change into the highest consumers of US authorities debt, even eclipsing nations like South Korea, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Germany, the report famous.
Stablecoins already maintain extra U.S. Treasuries than Germany—the third-largest nationwide financial system on this planet. pic.twitter.com/th1WryeKch
— Bitwise (@BitwiseInvest) August 22, 2025
Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC are at present the biggest stablecoins by market cap, and the 2 of them alone “have been the seventh largest consumers of US treasuries in 2025 YTD by June 30,” Coinbase wrote.
Largest stablecoins by market cap (Supply: CoinMarketCap)
Some analysts have expressed issues that the demand from stablecoins will push Treasury yields down a lot decrease, basically making authorities borrowing low cost.
However Coinbase argues that whereas the stablecoin demand will push yields down, it would solely decrease 3-month Treasury yields by round 4.5 foundation factors (0.045%).
“Our baseline estimates counsel the affect on 3-month T-bill yields is small in week 1 and grows by weeks 2-3 earlier than petering out,” Coinbase wrote.
“We expect the forecast doesn’t require unrealistically massive or everlasting charge dislocations to materialize; as a substitute, it depends on incremental, policy-enabled adoption compounding over time,” the alternate added.
Coinbase additionally talked about the July signing of the GENIUS Act, which the alternate believes “may scale back the chance that enormous redemptions will flip right into a cascade of compelled T-bill promoting.”
Different Nations Compelled To Think about Legalizing Their Personal Stablecoins
USD-pegged stablecoins have dominated the market up to now, however the signing of the GENIUS Act has compelled different nations to think about legalizing their very own stablecoins to stay aggressive with the US within the digital forex race.
As such, South Korea’s Monetary Companies Fee (FSC), a authorities regulator, introduced {that a} complete stablecoin regulatory invoice can be submitted to the nation’s legislature in October.
China has additionally pivoted from its lengthy historical past of opposing cryptocurrencies and privately issued cash when it reportedly signaled that it might enable stablecoins backed by the Yuan to start circulating out there.
Nevertheless, the rollout of any yuan-backed stablecoins would doubtless be restricted to particular financial zones, analysts say.
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