Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOGL) CEO Sundar Pichai gave a lightweight, oblique response to the rising dialogue about Gemini 3, Google’s subsequent main language mannequin – and it had main implications for predictions markets on Polymarket.
The remark got here as hypothesis intensified on Polymarket, the place merchants now estimate a 69% likelihood that Google will launch the mannequin on November 22.
Prediction markets are betting on Gemini 3 launch subsequent week $goog pic.twitter.com/cyvrJSMp62
— Alphabetting (@wintermoat) November 14, 2025
Polymarket has change into the largest prediction platform for betting on real-world occasions. Customers put cash on all the pieces from product launch dates and Bitcoin (BTC) value swings to election outcomes and Federal Reserve choices.
The market has was a spot the place merchants attempt to value main tech strikes earlier than they occur and Gemini 3 is the newest focus.
DISCOVER: High 20 Crypto to Purchase in 2025
What Does Sundar Pichai’s “Pondering Face” Emoji Sign About Gemini 3?
Contributors commerce occasion contracts utilizing cryptocurrency. The platform just lately raised $2Bn from Intercontinental Alternate (ICE), the father or mother firm of the New York Inventory Alternate, bringing its valuation to $9Bn.
Prediction markets are additionally gaining consideration at Google. The corporate has confirmed that Google Finance will quickly show knowledge from Polymarket and Kalshi, giving customers a technique to verify market-based chances and see how merchants are pricing real-world occasions.
With hypothesis rising round a potential Gemini 3 launch subsequent week, Sundar Pichai saved his response transient. He posted two “pondering face” emojis on X and supplied no additional clarification.
https://t.co/qOnZ87TUh0
— Sundar Pichai (@sundarpichai) November 14, 2025
His quick reply indicators that he’s holding again on particulars, more likely to keep away from including to the rising hype.
Nonetheless, the upcoming launch issues for Google. The corporate is below strain to slim the gap between itself and corporations that presently lead the AI subject, particularly OpenAI.
The broader business is watching this launch with actual curiosity, as a result of the response to Gemini 3 will form how significantly Google can compete on the prime degree.
DISCOVER: Subsequent 1000X Crypto – Right here’s 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x This Yr
How Dependable Are Prediction Markets In comparison with Polls and Knowledgeable Forecasts?
Enterprise Insider and different shops report that the mannequin is predicted earlier than the tip of the yr.
They are saying Google is aiming for higher coding output, stronger reasoning abilities, and extra refined multimedia era.
The replace can be anticipated to incorporate an improved model of the corporate’s Nano Banana picture system.
Pichai has already mentioned that Gemini 3 will arrive this yr. He has framed it as a part of Google’s push to slim the gap with OpenAI after an extended stretch when ChatGPT dominated public consideration.
That brings the headline query into focus: are prediction markets open to affect from high-profile figures?
Twenty years of educational analysis have proven that prediction markets sometimes produce pretty correct forecasts. In lots of instances, they’ve even outperformed polls and professional surveys.
However newer research level to a danger. They present {that a} single massive commerce, positioned on the proper second, can shift the value in automated-market-maker methods in ways in which don’t totally unwind.
The impact can stick, particularly when different merchants deal with that value transfer as actual info as an alternative of noise.
EXPLORE: What’s Constancy Smart Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC)?
The submit Google CEO Responds to Polymarket Wager: Are Prediction Markets Weak To Movie star Manipulation? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
