SpaceX beat Wall Road’s income and earnings expectations in its first quarterly report since its file IPO, giving the corporate a stronger monetary base for its accelerating synthetic intelligence enlargement.
In an Aug. 4 X put up, the agency revealed that its second-quarter income rose 92% 12 months over 12 months to $7.814 billion, exceeding the roughly $6.8 billion analysts anticipated. Adjusted EBITDA climbed 191% to $3.538 billion, properly above consensus estimates of about $2 billion.
The corporate’s web loss narrowed to $541 million from $1.008 billion a 12 months earlier, whereas its working loss improved to $143 million from $970 million.
IPO money piles into cash funds whereas Bitcoin holdings keep flat
The income beat got here as SpaceX directed most of its post-IPO liquidity into money-market funds and authorities securities whereas sustaining an unchanged Bitcoin stability.
Notably, SpaceX had generated $85.675 billion in web proceeds throughout its file IPO, which helped raise its money, money equivalents and marketable securities to almost $100 billion.
SpaceX held $65.625 billion in money-market funds at June 30, greater than triple the $21.339 billion reported on the finish of 2025, based on its SEC submitting.
The corporate additionally held $4.011 billion in authorities securities categorized as money equivalents and one other $6.487 billion recorded as marketable securities. Collectively, its money-market funds and authorities securities have been value $76.123 billion.
Then again, the agency’s reported Bitcoin place didn’t improve alongside that liquidity.
SpaceX held 18,712 BTC with a price foundation of $661 million at June 30, matching the quantity and price foundation reported on the finish of 2025.
The matching balances present that SpaceX reported no web change in its Bitcoin place between Dec. 31 and June 30. The submitting doesn’t disclose transaction-level exercise, that means purchases and gross sales might have occurred throughout the interval and offset one another earlier than quarter-end.
Nonetheless, the place’s truthful worth fell to $1.098 billion from $1.637 billion throughout the first half, producing a $539 million unrealized loss.
Regardless of the decline, the Bitcoin place remained $437 million above its reported value. It represented about 1.1% of SpaceX’s money, money equivalents and marketable securities after the IPO, down from roughly 6.6% at year-end.
AI absorbs a lot of the funding price range
SpaceX directed $15.828 billion into AI infrastructure throughout the second quarter, greater than 21 instances the $749 million spent a 12 months earlier and about double the quantity deployed within the first quarter.
The AI outlay accounted for 86% of SpaceX’s $18.369 billion in whole quarterly capital expenditure. It additionally exceeded Wall Road’s $13.09 billion estimate for AI spending, at the same time as general capex got here in barely under the $18.58 billion anticipated.
Throughout the primary half, AI capital expenditure climbed to $23.551 billion from $3.316 billion a 12 months earlier. That represented practically 83% of SpaceX’s whole $28.476 billion funding throughout the interval.
The spending helps SpaceX’s effort to construct large-scale knowledge facilities, lease high-demand computing capability to main expertise firms and develop its personal AI fashions and coding merchandise.
That funding has already begun producing business returns. AI income reached $2.561 billion throughout the quarter, pushed by computing agreements with clients together with Google and Anthropic, alongside income from Grok and X subscriptions.
Chief Monetary Officer Bret Johnsen mentioned contracted compute deployments have been producing payback intervals of lower than one 12 months, permitting SpaceX to get better tools prices extra shortly than it does on launch websites and satellite tv for pc infrastructure.
Nonetheless, the estimate applies to particular compute contracts reasonably than the AI division as an entire. The phase nonetheless recorded a $1.257 billion working loss, alongside $1.885 billion in depreciation and amortization and $2.178 billion in analysis and improvement spending.
SpaceX has signed $14.1 billion in cloud-services agreements and added one other $6.7 billion in contracts after the quarter ended.
Johnsen mentioned capital spending would stay at the same degree throughout the ultimate two quarters of the 12 months, indicating that AI infrastructure will proceed absorbing a lot of the firm’s funding price range.
The part ought to join the selloff to each pressures with out claiming both one alone brought on it. It also needs to distinguish confirmed fairness shorting from two-sided crypto derivatives exercise.
SPCX struggles as $100 billion unlock meets crowded brief commerce
The earnings beat didn’t ease issues about SpaceX’s AI spending and the upcoming improve in tradable SPCX shares.
With investor sentiment already underneath stress, consideration now turns to the provision overhang. On Aug. 6, insiders turn into eligible to promote roughly 900 million shares value about $105 billion at present costs.
Tom Dunleavy, the Head of Enterprise at Varys Capital, mentioned the discharge would rank among the many largest lockup expirations in market historical past. The shares exist already, however the expiration might sharply broaden the inventory out there for public buying and selling if staff and early buyers select to promote.
The Aug. 6 expiration can be the primary stage of a broader improve in provide. Dunleavy mentioned one other block would turn into eligible after SpaceX studies third-quarter earnings, whereas further restrictions expire on Dec. 8.
By then, about 40% of SpaceX’s excellent shares could possibly be freely tradable, though Elon Musk’s stake stays locked till June 2027.
Quick sellers had already positioned for additional weak spot. S3 Companions estimated that 95% of SPCX shares out there to borrow have been out on mortgage, whereas brief curiosity had reached 34% of the general public float.
Expectations of heightened volatility have been additionally seen in crypto derivatives markets. CoinGlass knowledge reviewed by CryptoSlate confirmed SPCX futures quantity and open curiosity reaching their highest ranges because the contracts launched.
In line with the information, SPCX’s buying and selling quantity within the final 24 hours climbed to about $6.85 billion, whereas open curiosity approached $720 million.
Rising open curiosity doesn’t present whether or not merchants have been predominantly bullish or bearish as a result of every futures contract contains each lengthy and brief positions.
Nonetheless, elevated fairness brief curiosity, file derivatives exercise, and the approaching unlock point out that merchants are getting ready for bigger worth swings because the inventory’s tradable provide expands.
That has already translated right into a detrimental worth efficiency for SPCX, which has fallen to $114, which is about 15% under its $135 IPO worth, 28% decrease over the previous month, and roughly 49% beneath its June excessive.